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handling retail sales – argus valuation dcf

Your shopping center is hot.  All the luxury brands are there or want in, the high-end celebrity restaurants are opening soon and a few of the hot, quick serve restaurants are open.  This buzz is great for your retailers and if you have a retail sales clause in your lease language it’s great for you as well.  The retail sales clause in the lease allows the shopping center owner to capture a percentage of the retail sales as rent.  The primary philosophy is to align both the tenant and owners interests.  When the retailers do well, so will the owner.

The image above shows the window in Argus Valuation DCF to enter the retail sales information for a tenant.  This window is available through the Tenant Rent Roll page, by right clicking or getting the details on the retail sales column.  The first option, volume, can be broken down further into different levels (i.e. higher percentages as revenues increase).

What you will notice in both of these windows is the reference to a breakpoint.  The option of adding categories, allows you to specify multiple breakpoints for a lease.  What is a breakpoint?  It is simply the point at which percentage rent kicks in.  The breakpoint will be specified in the tenants lease and will usually be something specified on a per square foot basis or as gross revenue volume ($50/SqFt or $500,000 in revenue per year).  If your tenant has two breakpoints, say 2% of revenues after $500,000 and 1% of revenues after $1MM, you capture this by setting up separate categories for each breakpoint.

Natural Breakpoint Calculation

When the breakpoint column is left blank, Argus Valuation DCF will calculate the natural breakpoint for the tenant.  Say for example, the percentage rent is 3% of gross sales.  If the base rent is $100,000 per year, simply divide the rent by the percentage rent to get your natural breakpoint:

Natural Breakpoint = Annual Rent / Percentage Rent
$100,000 Annual Rent / 3% Percentage Rent = $3,333,333

Any sales over $3,333,333 the tenant will pay 3% in rent.

Other Breakpoints

The natural breakpoint is not always used as the default for percentage rent.  The lease could specify the breakpoint is $3,000,000.  Or, as mentioned earlier, a breakpoint could be defined for different levels:

3% over $3,000,000

2% over $4,000,000

1% over $5,000,000

When reviewing this, it’s easy to see how retail sales align both the retailers and the owners goals to making the shopping complex succeed.  The more revenue the retailers generate, the more cash the shopping center will generate in percentage rent and in turn Net Operating Income.


Categories: real estate.

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three key lessons from gregsstats.com – the death of an upstart

TechCrunch has a DeadPool category.  Start ups that don’t survive get thrown in it.  GregsStats.com is in the DeadPool.  Actually, more like the almost DeadPool.  It’s still online, but I’ve ignored it for the past year.  I suppose it’s a slow and painful death.  I’m not surprised.  I didn’t build it for others.  It was for me and my friends that do triathlons.  (Want more details on what GregsStats.com did?)

Building GregsStats.com was fun.  But priorities have changed over time.  The site still gets some hits, without any marketing, but now it’s more about concentrating my energy on items that will be great versus focusing on multiple products that are just mediocre. Looking back at the result of Greg’s Stats and what could have been, there are some lessons there for future startups.

Lesson #1: Build a site that appeals to the ego

The surprising thing about GregsStats.com is people found the site, without marketing on my part.  How?  Google (or Bing or Yahoo or Ask – are people still using Ask.com?).  But it’s not new cutting edge Search Engine Optimization (SEO) tactics, it’s participants searching the internet for their name.  Recent analytics for the site are to the right.  Not a ton of visitors, but look at the traffic sources.  90% of the traffic was from search engines.

Lesson #2: Find a niche, but a niche that doesn’t hurt the ego

The ego attracted users, but nothing catered to the ego when it arrived.  A user could view their results, they could view others results, but nothing allowed a user to share, download, or promote their results.  On top of that, only a small segment of the users would be interested in sharing their triathlon results (the pros, not the recreational triathletes).  The niche is great, but it’s only great if you have good results.  Do you really want to analyze your race stats if you had a crappy race?  I don’t think so.

Lesson #3: Create a purpose for frequent revisits

I’m a triathlete.  I do a race, I check the results, I analyze the results on GregsStats.com.  Now what?  What keeps me coming back?  I can make a comment about the race, I can check out my friends results and analysis, but I don’t have a reason to visit GregsStats.com again until I (or my friend) do(es) another race.

These three lessons are key.  There are others: make it social,  have a marketing plan, churn out updates frequently, let it be sexy, and more… but without the three above a site will struggle.  The key with this is learning to leverage these lessons and others into future projects.  How does the saying go? Insanity is trying the same thing over and over hoping for a different outcome.

Do I miss something?  Tell me about it in the comments.

Categories: webpreneur.

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tenant rent roll and the upon expiration field – argus valuation dcf

This post is a part of a collection of posts about Argus Valuation DCF and the Argus Certification Exam. You can view all posts in the series by following the Argus Certification Exam tag.

A key component of Argus Valuation DCF: Tenant Rent Roll. A lot of the fields in the Tenant Rent Roll screen are self-explanatory.  Some fields require further explanation.  Upon Expiration is one field that requires a bit of elaboration.  Immediately following the Market Leasing Assumptions field, the Upon Expiration field allows for defining the likelihood of the tenant to renew, vacate or go in a different direction.

The Options

So, what are the options?  Market, Renew, Vacate, Option, ReAbsorb and Non-Contiguous. What do each of these options do?

  • Market - selecting Market in the Upon Expiration field denotes that the space will be released based on the weighting of the market leasing assumptions defined.  In the image above, there are two different Market Leasing Assumptions (MLA) setup:  Greater than 20,000 Square Feet (> 20K SqFt) and Less than 20,000 Square Feet (< 20K SqFt).  The second row shows the tenant term following the tenants expiration should be based on the Market Leasing Assumptions defined in < 20K SqFt.  If Market is selected, you can override the Renewal Probability of the MLA with the next column, Rnwl Prob.
  • Renew - Selecting renewal means the tenants probability of renewal is 100%.  Using the MLA defined, the New Tenant column will be ignored and data from the Renew Tenant column will be used.
  • Vacate - Vacate is basically the opposite of selecting Renew.  In this instance, the tenant will vacate and the renew probability is 0%.  All items in the MLA associated with Renew Tenant are ignored and figures from the New Tenant column are used.
  • Option - Option leases are a continuation of an original lease. Selection option puts Option in the Lease Type field of the Rent Roll.  Use option when the tenant has a renewal option for the space.  Under this setting, the start date of the option lease will begin at the expiration of the original lease.
  • ReAbsorb - When this option is selected, it means the space will be reabsorbed into the property – essentially taken off the market.  One approach to using this option is when a number of small spaces are expiring soon and the goal is to combine them into a larger space.
  • Non-Contiguous - This allows you to link multiple leases into one lease.  For example, if you have an office tenant that occupies floors 20 and 22, you can use this selection to have both spaces occupied under one lease.

The Upon Expiration field and different options are important to know when taking the Argus Certification Exam.  Be sure to understand the impact of each of the options as described above.

Categories: real estate.

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